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  • On the day before the general election, Rishi Sunak and Keir Starmer make their final pitch to votersSunak says he has “worked his socks off” and is still “campaigning hard for every vote”Starmer says that, by 22:00 BST tomorrow, he wants a “mandate for change”Earlier, Conservative minister Mel Stride said it was “highly likely” that Labour would achieve the largest majority in historyMeanwhile, Ed Davey says there is no ceiling on Lib Dem ambitions, the SNP says the election in Scotland is on a “knife-edge”, while Nigel Farage has addressed crowds in Clacton from a military vehiclePolling stations are open from 07:00 to 22:00 on Thursday across the UK

 According to BBC news.

YouGov’s final MRP of the election suggests that 16 of the current 26 cabinet minister employed by the government will lose their seats – including Jeremy Hunt. Other notable Tories, like Sir Iain Duncan Smith and Miriam Cates, also face ejection from the Commons, Sky news further reported.

Meanwhile, the Tories are on course for 102 seats, substantially down on the 165 achieved in 1997 under Sir John Major, losing more than two thirds of the 365 elected under Boris Johnson in 2019.

Sir Ed Davey’s Liberal Democrats are projected to get 72 seats, higher than their previous peak of 62 in 2005 under Charles Kennedy.

Nigel Farage’s Reform UK is set for three seats, while the Greens are on two seats. The SNP are set to drop from 48 seats in 2019 to 18 seats, according to YouGov.

This is YouGov’s final call of the election, and the projected majority is a central estimate which they believe could range from 132 to 282.

Under the pollster’s margin of error, The Labour Party’s seats could range from 391 to 466, and the Tories from 78 to 129.

The Lib Dems could range from 57 to 87, while the SNP range from eight to 34, Reform from zero to 14, Greens from one to four, and Plaid one to four.

The pollster interviewed 47,758 voters in Great Britain between 19 June to 2 July to get the figures.

This would mean a bleak national picture for the Tories, becoming a party predominantly of the South East, South West, and East of England. They would face near wipe out in the North East, North West and Wales, areas where Mr Johnson fared much better.

The YouGov projection implies vote shares of Labour on 39%, Conservatives on 22%, Reform on 15%, Liberal Democrats on 12%, Greens on 7%, SNP on 3%, Plaid on 1%, and others on 2% – near identical to the previous YouGov MRP poll two weeks ago.

It suggests a swing of 14.3% from Conservative to Labour, which is larger than the 10.2% swing from Conservative to Labour in 1997.

Keep reading for the official results tomorrow.

Support free journalism and freedom by “buying us a coffee” here. We are volunteers, not a for profit company and any donation big or small helps keep us going. If you have an article you’d like to submit or volunteer and write some articles, please feel free to email us.